July 12-15, 2013

Houston Marriott South at Hobby Airport
9100 Gulf Pkwy · Houston, Texas
Group rate $84/night

CLICK HERE TO RESERVE YOUR HOTEL ROOM

or CALL (713) 943-7979 and mention DDP to get the group rate.

CLICK HERE TO REGISTER FOR MEETING

cosponsored by:
Access to Energy
Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine
Physicians for Civil Defense

TRANSPORTATION

The Houston Marriott South is near Hobby Airport – HOU – (NOT Bush Intercontinental Airport) and offers a free airport shuttle from Hobby only.   AirTran, American, Southwest, Delta, and Jet Blue provide service into Houston Hobby.
Friday, July 12, 2013 

9 am-3 pm. (optional) Mass Casualty Care Course by Steven Hatfill, M.D.   (course is $100/person. Includes Lunch.)

7-9:30 pm. Welcome Reception

Saturday, July 13, 2013

7:45 am
Welcome.  Jane Orient, M.D., DDP President

8:00 am        
Five or More Failed Experiments in Measuring Global Sea Level Change. Willie Soon, Ph.D.
Dr. Soon, an astrophysicist, authored The Maunder Minimum and The Variable Sun-Earth Connection.

9:00 am        
Planning and Design of Habitats in Space and Other Extreme Environments. Larry Bell.
Author of Climate of Corruption, Bell is a professor of space architecture at the Univ. of Houston. He founded several high-tech enterprises.

10:15 am       
Three False Foundations of Sustainable Development. Steve Goreham.
Goreham is executive director of the Climate Science Coalition of America and author of The Mad, Mad, Mad World of Climatism.

11:15 am       
The Ten Tests to Determine Whether You Should Be Concerned about Global Warming. Anthony Watts.
A broadcast meteorologist and Al Gore target, Watts edits the world’s most popular global warming website, wattsupwiththat.com.

12:15 pm
Lunch: Pursuing the Truth on the Kennedy Assassinations. Donald W. Miller, M.D.
Dr. Miller teaches cardiac surgery at the University of Washington School of Medicine and frequently contributes to LewRockwell.com.

2:00 pm        
Bioweapons: The Bad and the Ugly (There Is No Good). Lee D. Hieb, M.D.
Dr. Hieb practices orthopaedic surgery in Iowa, specializing in spine surgery, and is a past president of AAPS.

3:00 pm        
EPA Exposed: the Economic Predation Administration. Howard Maccabee, Ph.D., M.D.
Dr. Maccabee earned a Ph.D. in nuclear physics and practices radiation oncology. He is a founder and past president of DDP.

4:00 pm
How Commercial Jets Are Made Safer (and Improving Your Own Safety and Comfort). Gordon Claycomb.
An aerospace engineer and commercial pilot, Mr. Claycomb worked at Lockheed’s Skunk Works for 20 years and consulted for 5 more yrs.

6:30 pm
Reception and Banquet. Mars in 39 Days?: the VASIMR Plasma Engine. Franklin Chang-Diaz, Ph.D.
Astronaut Chang-Diaz has been launched into space 7 times. He is President and CEO of the Ad Astra Rocket Company.

Sunday, July 14, 2013

8:00 am
Evidence-Based Forecasting for Global Warming. J. Scott Armstrong, Ph.D.
Dr. Armstrong is professor at the Univ. of Pennsylvania, author of Principles of Forecasting, and creator of forecastingprinciples.com.

9:00 am         
Why “Clean” Energy Won’t Reduce CO2 Emissions by Much. Herbert Inhaber, Ph.D.
Dr. Inhaber is president of Risk Concepts, a fellow of the American Nuclear Society, and author of 8 books and more than 150 articles.

10:15 am       
NIPCC to IPCC: Why Does Obama Continue to Prioritize Climate Change? S. Fred Singer, Ph.D.
Dr. Singer, a pioneer in rocket and satellite technology, founded NIPCC (Non-governmental IPCC), which opposes the UN IPCC.

11:15 am       
Vulnerabilities in the U.S. Financial System. Kevin D. Freeman, CFA.
Freeman is founder of Freeman Global Holdings and author of Secret Weapon and other works on economic terrorism.

12:15 pm
Lunch. Merchants of Despair: Radical Environmentalism and the Cult of Anti-Humanism. Robert Zubrin. 
Aerospace engineer Zubrin authored The Case for Mars, First Landing, How to Live on Mars, Energy Victory, and Entering Space.

2:00 pm        
Expanding “Depletable” Resources: Julian Simon Lives! Robert L. Bradley, Jr.
Dr. Bradley is CEO and founder of the Institute for Energy Research in Houston and the author of 7 books.

3:00 pm        
The Nuclear Energy Future: Thorium Reactors? Matthew Robinson.
Matthew Robinson is a Ph.D. candidate in nuclear engineering.

4:00 pm
Quashing Fake Silicosis and Lupus Epidemics and Putting out Huge Fires. Harrison Brundage.
Mr.Brundage, a retired geologist and technical writer, is recognized in Louisiana as an expert witness in geology.

 5:00 pm         Adjourn

SPECIAL ATTRACTIONS

Friday, July 12, 2013  9 am-3 pm. Course by Steven Hatfill, M.D., on mass casualty care includes hemorrhage control, rapid airway management, emergency management of penetrating chest injury, shock, and hypothermia. Any of us could be a first responder and save lives using these techniques. No previous medical training required.

Ship Channel Tour ($25/person) of the port of Houston, one of the world’s busiest industrial ports, handling 7,700 ship calls per year, Tour departs Sam Houston Boat Pavillion at 2:30 p.m. Friday. Bus will leave hotel at 1:15pm for Boat Pavillion .  Photo ID required. Experience an unforgettable waterborne voyage through one of the busiest ports in the world and learn about the industrial development on the Houston Ship Channel.

Ad Astra Rocket Factory, Professional Tour ($50/person) on Monday, July 15. 8:15am to 11:30am.  Limit is 25 persons, so reserve early! See the VASIMR plasma rocket engine, advanced superconductors, one of the world’s largest vacuum test chambers, and animations of future space exploration missions. You need not be a U.S. citizen, but the company needs to know your name and citizenship in advance.  We will depart hotel at 8:15am and will be back at the hotel no later than 11:30am.

CONTINUING MEDICAL EDUCATION

The Association of American Physicians and Surgeons (AAPS) will supply a certificate of participation for up to 5 hours of CME credit for Friday’s course and 15 hours for the meeting. This is not accredited as AMA/ACCME “Category 1,” but is accepted in some states for at least part of the CME requirement for license renewal.

Registration Fee:  $250 for the entire seminar includes a welcome reception, a banquet, and two luncheons ($200 for each additional family member). The mass casualty course led by Steven Hatfill, M.D., (3 hours of lecture and 2 hours practice), on Friday is $100 per person. (You need not be a physician to attend.) Houston Ship Channel cruise and Ad Astra Rocket Company tours are $25 or $50 each, respectively.

It is difficult for the Met to predict precipitation in the UK because it can’t tell what the jet stream is going to do. It is impossible to make reliable predictions on the economic or political front because of the vagaries of human behavior. Yet fundamental laws will not be defied with impunity. First, let’s attempt to identify key questions.

1. Will Iran get the Bomb, and what will happen if it does? Richard Maybury makes the shocking suggestion that if Iran wants a nuclear weapon, it already has one (Early Warning Report, December 2012, www.chaostan.com). As a general military training instructor in the U.S. Air Force in the 1960s, Maybury covered nuclear weapons, and spent many hours talking to Sam Cohen, the “father of the neutron bomb.” A few facts: (a) Atomic bombs are a 1940s technology. (b) During the 1950s, the U.S. distributed bomb-grade uranium to allies—including the Shah of Iran—under the Atoms for Peace program. (c) Iran has natural deposits of uranium. (d) We do not know how many Russian plutonium and uranium bomb cores have gone missing—possibly hundreds. At the Ulba highly enriched uranium facility in Kazakhstan, a U.S. nuclear inspector found shipping crates stamped with the destination “Tehran, Iran” (EWR, January 2013). Maybury speculates about ways in which a nuclear weapons threat may have already been used, say for blackmail, by one of the 14 nations known to have nukes (or maybe #15). Americans don’t know what really happened at Benghazi. What else don’t they know?

According to an anonymous source, the Iran bomb program is complete, operating out of seven sites, some unknown to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Key areas are buried deep within a mountain to protect against air strikes, and defended by two buried missile sites (WorldNetDaily 1/7/13, http://tinyurl.com/bbh6qsg).

            2. Will the U.S. dollar collapse? The U.S. military depends on the backing of a strong economy—and a reliable currency. The U.S. dollar is the world’s reserve currency. As Peter Schiff states in The Real Crash: America’s Coming Bankruptcy—How to Save Yourself and Your Country, the dollar’s status is “what allow us to buy something without really paying for it. Once we lose that status, the free ride ends.” What if those who have oil stop accepting dollars? Remember that Rommel lost when his tanks ran out of gas.

One “fiscal cliff” may have been averted—for a couple months. But how much confidence can creditors have in our ability to pay our debt? As Terry Anderson and D. Bruce Johnsen point out in “Sell Yosemite, Hold a Smithsonian Yard Sale,” selling national treasures could only bring in a few trillion, not enough to hold creditors at bay for long (WSJ 12/27/12). Tax revenue depends on the productivity of the economy. Simon Black (“Sovereign Man”) plotted U.S. per capita GDP in ounces of gold from 1791, when it was 2.6 oz, until now, when it is 28.4 oz. Since the end of the Great Depression, per capita GDP has been less than 30 oz only in 1980 and now. The postwar average is 72.83 oz. In other words, the largest economy in the world is producing as much as it did in 1931, and the trend is downward (http://tinyurl.com/be7vgem).

Maybury and Schiff hold the optimistic view that once the U.S. hits bottom, it may recover from its addiction to big government and spending other people’s money. But at best we are facing very painful readjustments.

3. Will the Western world commit “green” suicide? Any prospect of recovery for the U.S. economy (and Western Europe’s) depends on abundant, affordable energy. Some signs of awakening are occurring in Europe.

Faced with the prospect of deindustrialization and with 800,000 Germans in fuel poverty, unable to pay their electric bills, the Energiewende is having a second look, and 23 new coal-fired plants are under construction. Six times as many solar panels were installed as predicted, and the cost to consumers of the green electricity law (EEG) is twenty-fold higher than promised. After billions of euros in subsidies, solar has contributed an imperceptible 0.084% of Germany’s electricity over the past 22 years. Germany hoped to get 30% of the installed capacity out of its wind farms (vs. 85%-90% out of nuclear, gas, coal, or hydroelectric), but actual yield was only 16% (http://tinyurl.com/aphubtp). Germany’s neighbors are beginning to defend themselves against having to bear the cost of its status as the eco-conscience of the world. Poland and the Czech Republic are building a huge switch-off at their borders to block the unwanted importation of green energy from Germany, which is destabilizing their grids and threatening blackouts (Die Welt 12/28/13, http://tinyurl.com/csolmvp).

The European Union is rediscovering industry as the source of wealth creation, and promotes a goal of increasing industry’s share of GDP to 20% by 2020. It is now at 15%, having fallen from 22% in 2000. This would, however, require a “small revolution,” as re-industrialization would prevent achievement of “climate goals,” which have had unconditional priority (http://tinyurl.com/bsr3fq5). UK officials are weighing the resumption of fracking and a shale tax break (CCNet 10/8/13).

In the U.S., the shale gas bonanza is reversing the fortunes of the chemical, plastics, aluminum, iron and steel, rubber, coated metals, and glass industries. Some companies are “re-shoring” from China, in what PricewaterhouseCoopers calls the “Homecoming” (Telegraph 10/29/12, http://tinyurl.com/8ogebdn). The renaissance of America could, however, be thwarted by the “new robber barons,” writes Paul Driessen. Officials in Congress and the Executive Branch are locking up centuries of resources and plundering productive industries for the benefit of “green” “crony capitalist campaign contributors” (Canada Free Press 12/22/12, http://tinyurl.com/bd5ubkp).

HARBINGERS

There is growing evidence that the U.S. government is not anticipating times of peace and prosperity. Advice from ready.gov to have a “72-hour” kit, so you could survive being without government services for a few days, arrived with the water bill. As more people started asking questions about solicitations on FedBizOps, some information about ammunition purchases was classified. Numerous agencies, including NOAA, TSA, DHS, and the Social Security Administration are stockpiling some 2 billion rounds of deadly hollow-point ammunition, which is too expensive to use for target practice, as well as rounds generally used by snipers. More and more federal agents are armed, even the women who sell tickets at the Oregon Caves. Americans are under increasing surveillance; the potential uses of tens of thousands of drones in the U.S., which could be for life-saving purposes in disaster, is causing concern among civil libertarians.

2013 ANNUAL MEETING: HOUSTON, JULY 12-15

This year, we will offer a special 5-hour course on mass casualty care taught by Dr. Steven Hatfill, including hands-on practice. You need not be a physician to attend. Space is limited, and we need your reservation now. Call 520-325-2680. There will be a fee of $100 to cover costs. Topics include hemorrhage control, rapid initial airway management, emergency management of penetrating chest injury, shock, and hypothermia. A tour is being planned for after the meeting, on Monday, July 15, of oil refineries and/or a NASA facility. Watch for details on www.ddponline.org.

For more than a decade, scientists and engineers at Stony Brook University in New York had argued for building storm-surge barriers in New York. When a 4.2-meter-high wall of salt water hit the city on Oct 29, all their predictions came true (Nature 11/8/12).

Researchers at New York University, who lost their transgenic mice, decided it had not been wise to put valuable animals in a basement near a tidal river. Likewise, this was not the place for electrical control equipment or back-up generators.

It could have been worse. Winds at the level of the “Long Island Express” hurricane in 1938 would have ripped windows from skyscrapers, causing a deadly blizzard of flying glass, masonry, and furniture from high-rise buildings. People seeking shelter in the subway would have drowned as tunnels flooded (Paul Driessen, Townhall 12/29/12).

Mayor Bloomberg, Gov. Cuomo, and other politicians tried to blame global warming for devastation actually worsened by past political decisions by planners and politicos. For example, Bloomberg’s Arverne by the Sea initiative transformed a “swath of vacant land” (swept vacant by a storm in 1950) into a “vibrant community” of “affordable” (>$559,000) homes on land raised 5 ft above the surrounding Far Rockaway area. These homes mostly survived, but the high ground caused surges to rise higher and faster elsewhere than they would have on the Rockaway lowlands. The Hudson River was narrowed by 700 ft, owing to the construction of Battery Park City using 1.2 million cubic yards of earth from the World Trade Center site. The East River has been hemmed in and other channels closed completely by construction projects, progressively narrowing runoff areas for storm surges.

Politicians gain money and power by obscuring or misrepresenting the dangers of construction in high-risk areas—including the increased difficulty in evacuating the residents. Driessen calls for greater transparency, accountability, and liability.

Roger Pielke of the Univ. of Colorado warns that public discussion of disaster risks is being “taken over by the climate lobby and its allies, who exploit every extreme event to argue for action on energy policy.” In fact, even under the assumptions of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), changes to energy policy would have no discernible effect on future disasters in our lifetime. The effective strategies are those that have succeeded in the past: strategic land use, structural protection, and effective forecasts, warnings, and evacuation (WSJ 11/1/12).

Notably, in Sandy’s wake, all critical pieces of equipment were burning gasoline or diesel fuel. There was no call for wind turbines. The Dept. of Energy supplied 250,000 gallons of gasoline and 500,000 gallons of diesel. A single kilogram of diesel contains 13,000 watt-hours of energy: twice the energy density of coal, six times that of wood, and 300 times that of lead-acid batteries, which of course require an energy source for charging. A single trailer-mounted diesel generator could supply one megawatt of emergency electricity to a hospital. That much wind generation would require an area the size of 100 football fields—and wind that was blowing, but not too fast (WSJ 11/7/12).

WEATHER FORECASTING

 One might expect that after the U.S. has spent more than $35 billion on climate science, and $150 billion on global warming/ climate change, that our weather forecasting should be superb (TWTW 10/20/12). Actually, we do have some great instruments aboard satellites, but most of the money has been misappropriated to serve a political agenda. A critical U.S. polar satellite system crucial for weather forecasting has, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which oversees it, become “a national embarrassment due to chronic management problems.” The result could be a gap in coverage and a degradation in forecasts (CCNet 2/11/12).

Global warmists are more interested in aftcasting, trying to get their models to predict the past, and predicting disaster so far into the future that they can’t be held accountable for accuracy. In the present, the Met Office, the UK’s national weather service, no longer publishes a seasonal forecast, after its warming predictions became a national joke, with “barbecue summers and warmer than average winters.” Predictions of “drier than average conditions” were followed by the wettest months in 100 years. The Met’s computer models have been described as “complete rubbish.” “Their predictions are as changeable as the weather, and the only constant is the putative cause” (CCNet 1/5/13).

INTRADERMAL SHOTS MAY STRETCH FLU VACCINE SUPPLIES

Shortages of influenza vaccine are being reported in some areas at the time of this writing (Jan 7, 2013). DDP director Howard Long, M.D., M.P.H., wrote: “There is plenty of flu vaccine to go around if it is administered [off-label] intradermally, just like purified protein derivative [PPD for TB testing]. Just 0.1 cc of flu vaccine given intradermally can yield more antibody formation than 0.5 cc given subcutaneously” (Cortlandt Forum, January 2005). Dr. Long reports that he has given intradermal flu vaccine to hundreds of patients. “They often react with redness and swelling, …confirming subclinical infection.”

Two articles on this technique were published in the Nov 25, 2004, issue of The New England Journal of Medicine (Belsche RB et al. N Engl J Med 2004;351;2286-2294, and Kenney RT. N Engl J Med 2004;351:2295-2301). Similar antibody responses were observed by Belsche et al. using 40% of the usual dose ID (6 μg hemagglutinin compared with 15 μg given intramuscularly). Kenney et al. found similar results using 3 μg ID v. 15 μg IM. Kinney discussed theoretical advantages of injection into the skin, which has been shown effective for BCG (anti-TB) vaccine via the ID route and smallpox via scarification.

“The barrier function of the skin’s immune system can be exploited for vaccination, since over 25% of the body-surface area is covered by dendritic cells, a form of antigen-presenting cell whose function is to recognize foreign microbes and initiate an effective immune response.” An IM injection bypasses the skin’s immune system and depends on pickup of antigens by transient cells or on transportation to lymph nodes.

There were no differences in systemic side effects.

Dose-sparing ID injection was also found to overcome reduced immunogenicity of the 2009 H1N1 vaccine (Hung IF et al. Vaccine 2012;30:6427-6435).

A recent meta-analysis of ID versus IM influenza vaccine showed no significant difference in immunologic response in the overall population, though higher doses of the ID injection produced better response in older adults. At 3 days, there was no difference in adverse reactions, but at 7 days there were more local, but not systemic, events with the ID method (Marra F et al. Influenza Other Respi Viruses 2012 Sep 13. doi 10: 10.1111/inv.12000 [Epub ahead of print]).

Under the Affordable Care Act (ACA or “ObamaCare”), hospitals will be required to submit summary data on influenza vaccination of healthcare personnel, starting in January 2013. Starting in 2015, payments may be cut for failure to meet performance standards in the “value-based incentives” program. This is probably the reason many hospitals are beginning to require annual flu vaccines, and are firing staff who refuse to comply. This controversy is discussed in the winter 2012 issue of the Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons (http://www.jpands.org/vol17no4/orient.pdf).

The Green religion constantly issues apocalyptic prophecies and proclaims dogma. Ice will melt, seas will rise, green is clean, and their policies will lead to health, prosperity, and the salvation of the Planet as well as humanity.

But without a Memory Hole, these false prophets cannot prevail.

In 1983, Woodwell et al. wrote that forests “are expected to disappear during the first half of the twenty-first century.” And global warming would “probably cause a loss of carbon stored on land” (Science 12/9/83).

The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has monitored the world’s forests at 5 to 10-year intervals since 1946. As of 2010, forests covered 31% of the world’s land area. The rate of deforestation, especially in Brazil and Indonesia, is decreasing, and there are net gains in Europe and Asia owing to natural reforestation and planting.          Instead of decreasing, global carbon uptake by land and ocean has doubled between 1960 and 2010. Our understanding of the global carbon cycle is admitted to be limited; it is not even certain whether the carbon is going into the deep ocean, where it might stay for thousands of years, or forests, from whence it might return to the atmosphere in a few decades (Nature 8/2/12). The increase amounts to about 1 billion tonnes of CO₂ per year, and continues unabated, according to Sara Mikaloff-Fletcher of the [New Zealand] National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research. She said the breakthrough had taken scientists “completely by surprise” (New Zealand Herald 7/11/12, cited by the Climate Policy Network, CCNet 7/12/12). The cause is still a mystery.

The melting of glaciers and ice caps (GIC) and resulting sea level rise is the iconic image of global warming catastrophe. However, there is much uncertainty about them, as fewer than 120 (0.075%) of the world’s 160,000 glaciers and ice caps have had their mass balance (sum of annual gains and losses) measured. Records extend beyond 30 years for only 37, writes Jonathan Bamber (Nature 2/23/12). Now we have the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), which consists of a pair of satellite making observations of changes in the earth’s gravitational field since 2002. The contribution of GIC, excluding Antarctica and Greenland peripheral GICs, to sea-level rise is less than half of that previously thought (0.41±0.08 mm/yr compared with 1.1 mm/yr). The contribution of the High Mountain Asia region (0.01 mm/yr) is only one-tenth as much as previously thought. See Jacob et al., doi:10.1038/nature10847. Including Antarctica and Greenland, GICs contribute to sea-level rise of 1.48±0.26 mm/yr.

Arctic sea ice may reach a record low this year, for the period in which systematic measurements are available (since 1979—just coincidentally the peak ice year of the last century). This does not, however, mean the lowest extent ever. There is evidence that during the warmer periods in the last 10,000 years, the ice virtually disappeared, such as the period between 8,000 and 5,000 years ago (TWTW 8/18/12). Even in the last 2,000 years there were the Roman warm period, around 0 A.D., and the medieval warm period, around 800-1000 A.D., when temperatures were probably even warmer than previously thought, writes Lewis Page (The Register 7/10/12, cited by CCNet 7/11/12). Still more recently, to name just two examples, a 1922 Washington Post headline read “Arctic Ocean Getting Warm; Seals Vanish and Icebergs Melt,” and in 1935 a “Russian Ship Sailed 500 Miles from the North Pole in Ice-Free Water.” This year, by the way, Antarctic sea ice is at or near the satellite record high (http://tinyurl.com/d3pe8cq).

Greens are turning against Green energy—even before it becomes economically viable. Western Lands Project, Basin and Range Watch, and Solar Done Right have filed a complaint with the Bureau of Land Management, stating that the agency “failed to analyze numerous impacts of solar energy plant development within several Solar Energy Zones.” The Greens are worried that the projects might disturb caliche deposits, which might release CO₂ to the air, and threaten the habitat of the endangered desert tortoise, Mojave fringe-toed lizard, golden eagle, and desert bighorn” (WSJ 9/4/12).

If one is worried about trace concentrations of greenhouse gases, the solar energy industry has become one of the leading emitters of hexafluorethane (C₂F₆), nitrogen trifluoride (NF₃), and sulfur hexafluoride (SF₆), which have, respectively, a greenhouse potency 12,000, 17,000, and 23,000 that of CO₂. “There’s no evidence that solar cells offset fossil fuel use in the American context,” writes Ozzie Zehner (Green Illusions).

Wind has no environmental benefit, stated John Droz at the 2012 DDP meeting. To build one megawatt of generating capacity requires 2,000 pounds of rare earths. A 350-megawatt project generates 350,000 pounds of radioactive waste plus a huge amount of toxic air pollution. Offshore wind installations disrupt marine habitats. While the harm to birds, particularly migratory birds, has been diminished, there is no known way to mitigate bat takings. The loss of bats would have a profound effect on agriculture, as a bat eats about 1 million insects.

“Puff, the Magic Drag on the Economy” is Sen. Lamar Alexander and Rep. Mike Pompeo’s description of the effect of green energy on the economy (WSJ 9/19/12). While the Brookings Institution claimed that there are more jobs in the “Clean Economy” than in fossil fuels—2.7 million and 2.4 million, respectively—there are only about 24,000 jobs in each of wind power and photovoltaic solar power. The big “green” categories are waste management, public mass transit, and organic food and farming (TWTW 8/18/12).

Natural gas, once portrayed by the Sierra Club as the “good fossil fuel,” is now “dirty, dangerous, and running amok.” The Beyond Coal campaign is killing the coal industry; Beyond Natural Gas wants to prevent new natural gas plants from being built whenever possible (WSJ 5/30/12, http://tinyurl.com/8ldsjxc). Although the Dept. of Energy reports that natural gas electric plants produce 45% less carbon than coal plants, some now allege that “compared [with] coal, the [climate] footprint of shale gas is at least 20% greater….” (Commentary, June 2012, http://tinyurl.com/bmpa6p2). Seemingly forgotten is that there are no wind plants without a gas backup—if “backup” is the proper term for something that has to be working two-thirds of the time.

The reality is that apocalyptic Green predictions are regularly shown to be wrong. This doesn’t matter because the real agenda is not to protect human health or to promote clean, economical energy, but to reduce human population and jettison free enterprise and individual rights in favor of a state-managed economic system.

GOOD READING

• The A-Z Climate Reality Check report by Marc Morano, released by Climate Depot, December 2011, presented at the UN climate conference in Durban, South Africa (http://tinyurl.com/7tch258).
• The Mad, Mad, Mad World of Climatism: Mankind and Climate Change Mania by Steve Goreham (“the antidote to Gore”), foreword by Harrison Schmitt.
• Roosters of the Apocalypse by Rael Jean Isaac, published by Heartland Institute.

“Global Warming Fanatics Take Note: Sunspots Do Affect Climate” by Willie Soon and William M. Briggs, Washington Times 9/6/12, http://tinyurl.com/9v9qkbr). New Berkeley BEST project temperature records confirm: changes in solar radiation influence climate.

Reporting on the Rio +20 conference, Lord Christopher Monckton writes: “The walls of the conference center were festooned with disturbing images, many painted by children under the rubric, ‘children teaching their parents.’

“In one painting, a child painted the sun, dressed as a doctor taking the temperature of the earth. The diagnosis: ‘I’m sure you have humans!’”

Some say that the effect of human beings on the planet is so profound that it is creating a new geologic epoch: the Anthropocene. The term was coined by Paul Crutzen, a leader in promoting the idea of a nuclear winter, human causation of the “ozone hole,” and the need for a radical contingency plan to stop global warming.

Some warn that the global ecosystem is “approaching a planetary-scale critical transition as a result of human influence”: a “tipping point.” An irreversible shift from one state to another can occur by means of a “sledgehammer” or a “threshold” effect. Rapid climate change is one aspect. Others include “highly fragmented species ranges” (Barnosky AD et al. Nature 6/7/12, doi:10.1038/nature11018).

Humans are said to “commandeer ~20–40% of global net primary productivity (NPP),” leaving less for other species. While humans have also substantially increased the energy available to power the global ecosystem “through the release of energy formerly stored in fossil fuels,” this does not entirely offset the “human appropriation of NPP” because the extra energy is largely used to support “humans and their domesticates, the sum of which comprises large-animal biomass that is far beyond that typical of preindustrial times.” The co-opting of resources and energy will continue as the population reaches 9.5 billion by 2050, and will be greatly exacerbated if poverty is diminished (ibid.).

The projection of 9.5 billion people by 2050 is called “most conservative.” If fertility remains at 2005-2010 levels, it could purportedly reach 27 billion. To “diminish the range of biological surprises” and avert the planetary transition will require “global cooperation” to reduce the rate of population growth and per-capita resource use (ibid.).

Thirty years ago H.E. Goeller and A. Zucker wrote about “Infinite Resources: the Ultimate Strategy,” citing a predicted steady-state population level of 8.5 billion by 2100 (Science 2/3/1984). The UN now projects 9.5 billion in 2050 (Science 7/29/11).

Since the first Earth Summit in Rio in 1992, political progress has stagnated, laments Carlos Nobre (Science 6/15/12). At Rio +20, “Earth and its inhabitants have a second chance” (Nature, op. cit.). But, “in biophysical terms, humanity has never been moving faster or further from sustainability than it is now,” write Paul Ehrlich, author of The Population Bomb, and associates (doi:10.1038/nature11157).

Ehrlich et al. cite the 2005 World Summit’s “three pillars or ‘E’s’ of sustainability” or the “triple bottom line”: reconciling environmental, social equity, and economic demands. They acknowledge that fertility has decreased, though not enough, in their view. More difficult to contain is ever-rising consumption, as people are lifted out of poverty. Since “human beings cannot be counted on to behave rationally,” Ehrlich calls for “strengthening the societal leadership of academia” in order to “spark cultural evolution for rescaling.”

And what is actually happening with the population bomb? At our 30^th annual meeting, Bonner Cohen (http://tinyurl.com/9s7n9lo) spoke of the rise of the “net mortality society.” We have seen massive die-offs before, as in the Black Plague, but these were local, not global. Demographic collapse has enormous implications for world affairs.

For ethnic Russians, the birth rate is only 1.3, and life expectancy is also decreasing. In men, it is about 60, and in women less than 70, because of alcohol, the drug culture, and resistant tuberculosis. Concern is manifested as capital flight: $83 billion left Russia for Switzerland and New York in 2011, and $96 billion already in 2012.

In China, population will decrease rapidly, owing to the one-child policy in effect since the 1980s, plus selective abortion of girls. The work force is shrinking, so labor costs are rising. The population of India will exceed that of China by 2025, Cohen said.

The consequences of Chinese population policy are finally being acknowledged. By 2025, the “marriage deficit” of 20 million to 30 million women poses a great threat to the social order. While a future population decline might be desirable, “rapid or even sudden decline would be disastrous, and it would be very difficult to stop” (Science 7/29/11).

The population of Tokyo is expected to fall by half in the next 90 years, with nearly half of those remaining being over age 65 (Telegraph 9/4/12).

South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Singapore, with fertility below 1.3, are trying to engineer a baby boom (Science 7/29/11).

Some accepted authorities do acknowledge that more people are not necessarily a problem, citing economic and environmental benefits from increased population in the Machakos Reserve in Kenya (Science 7/29/11). But many hail the onset of the “Big Die-off.” As Simon Ross, chief executive officer of Population Matters, says, “population shrinkage is the cheapest and surest contribution to sustainability that we know of (D. Normile, “The Upside of Downsizing,” Science 7/29/11).

In his book Wasted World: How Our Consumption Challenges the Planet, Rob Hengeveld proposes reducing world population to 1 billion. In Garbology: Our Dirty Love Affair with Trash, Edward Humes cites the view that “at the heart of the American dream is a call to the financial freedom of reduced consumption, rather than bondage to belongings.” Both books are reviewed by Sonja Vermeulen, head of research at the Consortium of International Agricultural Research Centers. Messages such as Humes’s “new normal,” she writes, “strike a chord in these times of recession, resource scarcity and uncertain futures” (Nature 4/26/12).

Idealists from the International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives, meeting at Rio +20, who are striving to be the world’s masters, may have trouble defining “sustainable development” (see http://tinyurl.com/7ky48ly). The operational meaning is, however, clear enough to the powers behind Agenda 21: engineer a massive decline in human population, and subject all of humankind to a socio-economic system that is under total global government control.

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The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) may cite numbers of human lives theoretically saved by its regulations, but the Green agenda is clearly the protection of Nature or the Planet. The effect of a technology on the environment may not even be the issue. The fact that it promotes prosperity may be the Greens’ main objection to it.

A recent study by Citi entitled “Energy 2020” concluded that the recovery of shale oil by fracking (hydraulic fracturing) portends nothing less than the “potential reindustrialization of the U.S. economy.” However, it is not clear who will win the policy war: “those who want to use the earth’s resources to achieve greater human progress or those who want to protect the earth from that progress” (Abby Schachter, “Energy Independence and Its Enemies,” Commentary, June 2012).

The Living Planet Report 2012 by the WWF (World Wildlife Fund) has stated that “economic growth should be abandoned, [and] citizens of the world’s wealthy nations should prepare for poverty,” writes Lewis Page (The Register 5/16/12, http://tinyurl.com/72t27mh). WWF assumes that global resources are limited, as measured in “biocapacity” expressed in hectares of earth’s surface. It goes on to assign numbers to how much biocapacity people are using—their “ecological footprint.”

The only human beings living within their means by this calculation are in the poorest nations. Thus, “only global poverty can save the planet.”

A major report by the Royal Society, Britain’s leading scientific academy, concludes that the world’s wealthiest people must urgently reduce their consumption to save the Earth from a “vortex of economic, socio-political, and environmental ills.” There’s a joint problem of population and consumption, and 23 prominent academics call for a radical “re-balancing” of global consumption to go hand in hand with attempts to curb further rapid rises in population (Steve O’Connor, The Independent 4/26/12, http://tinyurl.com/6v8fjqt).

“The report suggests, like the farcical carbon-trading scheme, a pseudo-market in consumption trading,” writes Raheem Kassam. However, “for developing countries to grow, it does not require developed economies to give up their prosperity or growth, but rather for developed countries and their partner NGOs to release their strangle hold from the throats of developing countries”  (The Commentator 6/7/12, http://tinyurl.com/7p3hhx9, cited by Benny Peiser, CCNet 4/27/12, also see www.thegwpf.org).

The Royal Society has embraced Malthus; it recently appointed Paul Ehrlich of The Population Bomb to fellowship. It calls on the June Rio+20 Earth Summit in Rio de Janeiro to tackle population growth. This is despite the fact that median fertility worldwide has sunk from 5.6 in the 1970s to 2.4 now. Total world population is expected to level off at 9 billion and remain there for 250 years (ibid.). Voluntary reduction in fertility appears to follow prosperity. Hundreds of millions are being lifted from abject poverty in China, India, and Africa, not through redistribution of wealth but through creation of wealth by means of trade, technology, and capital investment.

The Rio conference features “sustainable development” (Agenda 21) and will “tie population into green knots.” It demands “poverty eradication” [in some places], a global policy framework requiring all listed and large companies to integrate sustainability, and universal membership in a UN environmental agency located in Nairobi (Canada Free Press 1/12/12, http://tinyurl.com/7lo45lz)—the end of individual rights, including property rights, which are the mainspring of human progress.

BIODIVERSITY AND THE POPULATION CONTROL HOLOCAUST

Twenty years ago, the Earth Summit in Rio opened with a prediction that lack of governmental action would bring “by the end of the century, an environmental catastrophe which will  witness devastation as complete, as irreversible, as any nuclear holocaust.” The Summit resulted in the Convention on Biodiversity, now signed by 193 nations, to prevent species loss. The Earth was purportedly experiencing the greatest wave of extinctions since the age of the dinosaurs, with the loss of up to 150 species per day.

The International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) has identified a total of 801 species lost since 1500 A.D. Since 2000, only one animal, a mollusk, has been definitively shown to have gone extinct (CCNet 4/26/12).

Concerns about biodiversity and a “hard limit” on resources are always tied to calls for more human population control. “Around the world, the population control movement has resulted in billions of lost or ruined lives,” writes Robert Zubrin.

Acceptance of the idea that the world’s resources are fixed, with only so much to go around, means that “each new life is unwelcome, each unregulated thought or act is a menace, every person is fundamentally the enemy of every other person, and each race or nation is the enemy of every other race or nation.”

Zubrin notes that until the 1960s, American population control movements here and abroad were largely funded by private organizations, such as the Population Council and Planned Parenthood, with deep roots in the eugenics movement. Since then, the U.S. Congress has funded such programs, making billions instead of mere millions of dollars available for global campaigns of mass abortion and forced sterilization.

Speaking of biodiversity, there is evidence that all the pureblood women of the Kaw tribe in Oklahoma were sterilized in the 1970s, using Medicaid money, as reported by Angela Franks in her 2005 book Margaret Sanger’s Eugenic Legacy.

International programs frequently require participation as a condition of receiving loans, food aid, or public health assistance. “Disincentives” for refusing to consent to sterilization or IUD insertion have included dismissal from employment, destruction of homes, or denial of schooling or medical care. In India, some states denied irrigation water to villages that did not meet their quotas. One village was even threatened with aerial bombardment.

“You must consider it something like a war,” said a family planning director in Maharashtra. “Whether you like it or not, there will be a few dead people.”

Prime Minister Indira Gandhi, who capitulated to President Lyndon Johnson’s demand for aggressive population control as a condition for aid, was voted out of office in 1977. But financial pressure on India from the Word Bank and USAID continued. By the early 1980s, 4 million underclass Indian women were being coercively sterilized each year as part of the two-children-per-family limit.

Zubrin considers the U.S. taxpayer-funded population control programs abroad to be top-down dictatorial, dishonest, medically negligent, abusive of human rights, and racist. He provides extensive history (New Atlantis, spring 2012 (http://tinyurl.com/c6ucp7u).

Female infanticide or selective abortion of girls is frequent in countries where family size is limited and a male heir is considered essential. India has 37 million more men than women. Between 2000 and 2004, probably one-fifth of the baby girls in China were aborted or murdered. Sex-selective abortion is even coming to the U.S., with the collusion of Planned Parenthood, as under-cover videos show (http://tinyurl.com/7zw53vm).

Reducing human population is openly advocated as a means of controlling carbon emissions. Atrocities follow inevitably from the ideology that, in Zubrin’s words, believes that “the human race is a horde of vermin whose unconstrained aspirations and appetites endanger the natural order” and that “tyrannical measures are necessary to constrain humanity” (op. cit.).

“The gap between comfort and chaos in modern civilization is alarmingly narrow and defined by a four-letter word: fuel,” writes Jane Orient, M.D., President of Doctors for Disaster Preparedness, quoting The Sunday Times from the UK. http://www.ddponline.org/2012/01/01/gaps-gigatonnes-and-megawatts/#more-90

Thousands of British and Scottish families live in “fuel poverty,” and many American families suffer from the severe economic recession and rising prices.

Abundant oil and natural gas, a hopeful development for ordinary people of the world, is an existential threat to special interests: those who want to keep the world dependent on their oil or gas supplies (such as the Middle East or Russia), and those who want sky-high prices for natural gas so that windmills or solar panels look “affordable” by comparison. http://www.physiciansforcivildefense.org/2012/03/01/salvation-or-existential-threat/

Britain’s “second energy revolution”—its “dash for gas”—is seen as a threat to its “carbon dioxide goals.” Some want the UK to follow the example of France in imposing a moratorium on hydraulic fracturing (“fracking”)—or Pennsylvania to follow the example of New York in blocking this technology pending further “study.”

Horizontal drilling with hydraulic fracturing has been used by petroleum engineers since the 1950s to extract both petroleum and natural gas. After a well is drilled, a wire with explosive charges is dropped into it to create fissures in the rock. Water, chemicals, and sand are pumped in under pressure to open channels and keep them open, so gas can flow out when the fluid is pumped out.

Opponents cite fears of groundwater pollution, which has not been observed, or earthquakes. Slight earth tremors can and do occur; the seismicity of fracking is quite similar to that of coal mining. The really destructive upheaval is the one to the billion-dollar subsidies flowing to economically nonviable wind and solar industries, states Dr. Orient.

Fears of “climate disruption” from burning hydrocarbon fuels are increasingly falling into disrepute, Orient notes. Canada has become the first nation to withdraw from the Kyoto Protocol, stating that to meet the target for reduction in carbon dioxide emissions would require either removing all vehicles from Canadian roads or shutting down its agricultural sector and cutting off winter heat to all buildings. http://www.physiciansforcivildefense.org/2012/01/01/is-kyoto-dead/

Issues concerning energy technology and the effects of atmospheric carbon dioxide will be featured at the 30^th annual meeting of Doctors for Disaster Preparedness, to be held on Long Island July 27-29. www.ddponline.org.

Long Island Marriott (Long Island, NY)
101 James Doolittle Blvd
Uniondale, NY 11553

CLICK HERE TO RESERVE YOUR HOTEL ROOM

(note Sunday’s rooms are sold out at our group rate. We are working on getting a larger room block. Stay tuned.)

CLICK HERE TO REGISTER FOR MEETING & TOUR

Friday, July 27, 2012 

Optional Tours.  (scroll down for info)

7-9:30 pm Welcome Reception                                                                        

Saturday, July 28, 2012

7:45 am Welcome.  Jane Orient, M.D., DDP President

8:00 am Mercury Air Toxics Standards and the Extreme Punishment Agency (EPA). Willie Soon, Ph.D. Dr. Soon, an astrophysicist, authored The Maunder Minimum and the Variable Sun-Earth Connection.

9:00 am Statistical Follies and Epidemiology. William Matthew (“Matt”) Briggs, Ph.D. Dr Briggs is a professor and consultant in statistics, with an interest in philosophy of science and epistemology.

10:15 am Using Data Noise to Combat Political Noise. Howard Hayden, Ph.D. Dr. Hayden is professor emeritus of physics, University of Connecticut, and publishes The Energy Advocate.

11:15 am Energy Independence for the United States. Bonner Cohen, Ph.D. Dr. Cohen is a senior policy analyst for the Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow. He authored The Green Wave.

12:15 pm  Lunch: The Empire State Divided (Documentary on Fracking). Karen Moreau. Producer Karen Moreau is executive director of the New York State Petroleum Council.

2:00 pm Does Offshore Wind Energy Make Sense? John Droz, Jr. A physicist and environmental activist, Mr. Droz has extensively studied industrial wind energy.

3:00 pm Appropriate Radiation Level for Evacuations. Jerry Cuttler, D.Sc. Dr. Cuttler, retired from Atomic Energy of Canada, is an expert on the beneficial effects of low-dose radiation.

4:00 pm The Health Effects of Medical Radiation. Howard Maccabee, Ph.D., M.D. Dr. Maccabee is a nuclear physicist and radiation oncologist. He is a founder, past president, and a director of DDP.

6:30 pm Reception & Banquet. Common Sense 2012. Arthur B. Robinson, Ph.D. Dr. Robinson, editor of Access to Energy, is a congressional candidate in Oregon’s District 4.    

Sunday, July 29, 2012

8:00 am Sustainability Realities—with Update from Rio. Paul Driessen. The author of Eco-Imperialism: Green Power, Black Death, Mr. Dressen discusses “sustainability” and human health.

9:00 am Obama “Skins the Cat” to Achieve Energy Rationing. S. Fred Singer, Ph.D. Dr. Singer, a pioneer in rocket and satellite technology, founded NIPCC, which opposes the UN IPCC.

10:15 am Alarming Global Warming: What Happens to Science in the Public Square. Richard S. Lindzen, Ph.D. Dr. Lindzen is Alfred P. Sloan Professor of Meteorology at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

11:15 am Why “Climate Science” Isn’t About Science. Rael Jean Isaac, Ph.D. Dr. Isaac, a sociologist, authored Roosters of the Apocalypse, The Coercive Utopians, and Madness in the Streets.

12:15 pm Lunch: Inside an ICBM Squadron During the Cuban Missile Crisis. Gordon Claycomb.  Mr.Claycomb worked at the Skunk Works for 20 years.

2:00 pm Myths and Facts Concerning Biological Agents in Warfare. Steven Hatfill, M.D. Dr. Hatfill is an instructor in tactical combat casualty care for specialized units of the U.S. armed services.

3:00 pm Using the Freedom of Information Act and Federal Open Data Laws. Andrew Schlafly, Esq. Mr. Schlafly is general counsel for the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons (AAPS).

4:00 pm An Inconsistent Truth (video) Phil Valentine. Mr. Valentine is a radio talk show host based in Nashville, Tenn., and an author of weekly newspaper commentaries.

5:30 pm Adjourn

Tour Info
We will have a group tour of Brookhaven National Labs on Friday, July 27.  Group size is limited to 20 people.  This tour is FULL.

Our alternate activity available for those who wish to participate will be a trip to the Cradle of Aviation – Long Island’s Air & Space Museum.

AGENDA: